the new government
On November 19, Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki delivered his exposé and won a vote of confidence in his government. This is not the final stage in the formation of the Council of Ministers – the processes of selecting deputy ministers, creating and separating ministries, and the struggle for influence in state-owned companies and in local government institutions still lie ahead.
The first days after the election have shown that the next four years in government will be much more difficult for PiS than the previous four. On the one hand, the Left and Konfederacja have won seats in the Sejm and will challenge the government on social policy and ideological issues; on the other hand, the good election result secured by PiS's coalition partners increased the ambitions of Zbigniew Ziobro and Jarosław Gowin. The biggest challenge for PiS over the coming months will be to counteract the negative effects of the impending economic slowdown and ensure re-election of Andrzej Duda as president.
Book a post-election briefing with our analysts for your firm’s or institution’s key decision makers. Our experts will characterise the post-election deal, discuss the new balance of power and composition of the government, and outline possible scenarios for the coming weeks, which will help you prepare business strategies more easily.
PiS – is the balance of power in the ruling camp changing; who gained and who lost after the election; allies and rivals in the struggle for influence and the implementation of political goals
Council of Ministers – who are the new ministers; who will play the key role in the Prime Minister’s chancery and his immediate circle; how the new division of responsibilities between of ministries will affect the agenda implemented by PiS
The process of legislation – who makes the law in Poland; what is the role of the Senate and will the opposition be able to block PiS bills; who is are the éminences grises in the law-making process.
State-owned companies – what are the implications of creating the Ministry of State Assets, what will the balance of power be in state companies and how it will affect the CPK central airport, the construction of a nuclear power station, “Housing+” and other PiS megaprojects
Sectoral policies – who will really be responsible for economic policy; how will the division of responsibilities on European issues shape up; and what are the key decision centres in energy and climate questions
Presidential election – who will run against Andrzej Duda; will the opposition put up one single candidate
Business – how will the election result and the new arrangements in the government affect doing business in Poland; will PiS be looking for budget saving at the expense of Polish and foreign business owners
Introductory material (approx. 6 pages)
Election results – the winners and losers
Diary – the most significant upcoming events
New division of ministries – how the council of ministers changed
Key actors – who joined the government; profiles of ministers of key importance to the client
Balance of power – who won and who has lost in the new government
Legislative process – who creates law in Poland and how they do it
What will change – politics; economy; social issues; balance of power
Presentation (approx. 80 minutes)
Election result – a brief summary
The new government – the major changes; the situation in key ministries; new balance of power; the éminences grises
Sector analysis – how changes in the government will impact the situation of industries important from the client's perspective in the short and medium term
Prospective analysis – the most likely direction of changes in politics and economy
Assessment of political risks – the impact of the election result on consumers, the economy and industries selected by the client
The briefing, which can be prepared in Polish or English, will feature one to two analysts from Polityka Insight
The presentation can be organised at the PI office or in a location indicated by the client
PI will provide printed introductory material for each participant and will prepare a multimedia presentation
As an additional service, Polityka Insight can prepare an in-depth research note (.pdf) after the presentation, with answers to specific questions and problems indicated by the client during the meeting
Polityka Insight is Poland’s leading and valued source of political analysis and business intelligence. Established in 2013 it has three business pillars: daily analytical services, tailored research products and high-profile events and conferences. Find out more: www.politykainsight.pl
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