Settling the Dust:
Presidential elections in Poland
On June 1, Poles chose Karol Nawrocki as their new president. Although the president's role in Poland’s political system is limited in terms of powers, the narrow victory is a setback to Donald Tusk’s government and the ruling coalition. How will this outcome shape the future of Polish politics?
Book a political briefing with our analysts for the key decision-makers at your firm or institution. Our experts will outline the next formal steps and timeline, explain the factors behind Nawrocki’s victory, and present post-election scenarios for the Polish political landscape and broader European affairs — helping you better align your business strategies with the evolving political context.
Key questions
The Result | Which social groups tipped the balance in favor of the winning candidate? Who stayed away from the polls, and how did abstention shape the outcome?
The Winner | Who is Karol Nawrocki? What prerogatives will he hold as President, and what does his track record suggest about the direction of his presidency?
Cohabitation | What will relations between the president and the cabinet look like, and how might this affect the government agenda?
The Future of the Coalition | How might the election result shift internal dynamics within the ruling coalition? What is the risk of political fragmentation, cabinet instability, or even snap elections?
Cabinet Reshuffle | What changes can be expected at the ministerial level, and when might they occur? Who are the key figures to watch?
The Political Future | What lies ahead for the Polish political landscape? Are right-wing parties gaining momentum ahead of the next parliamentary elections? What role will Konfederacja play in shaping future alliances and political strategy?
Broader Picture | What will be the short- and mid-term impacts of the election on the economy, international relations, and Poland’s position in the EU?
Further details
The briefing will last approximately 60–90 minutes and can be held online or in person.
One or two analysts from Polityka Insight will lead the session.
Depending on your needs, Polityka Insight can provide a presentation or a short introductory speech. The main focus of the meeting will be addressing participants’ questions during the Q&A session.
As an additional service, Polityka Insight can prepare an in-depth research note (.pdf) after the presentation, including answers to specific questions and issues raised by the client during the meeting.
Our experts
About us
POLITYKA INSIGHT is a source of knowledge about Polish and European politics and economy for business leaders, political decision-makers, and diplomats. For the past 12 years, it has been providing its subscribers with analytical services, preparing reports and presentations for Polish and international institutions upon request, as well as organizing debates and conferences. Polityka Insight’s analysts can be heard in regularly published original podcast series, such as "Nasłuch" and "Energia do zmiany".
www.politykainsight.pl/en
To receive the offer, contact us
Maciej Michalik
Director of Researchm.michalik@politykainsight.pl
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